PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x2bfa78adbad30be413d860c37ece464c63cff472

Realised P&L
$1.10
Volume
$464.00
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$46.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration82.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8400.935$14.96+$1.52
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9590.975$14.62+$0.23
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8080.908$6.36+$0.70
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? · Yes0.4100.620$3.72+$1.26
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0290.063$3.15+$1.70
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.2700.195$1.75$0.68
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2200.120$1.68$1.40
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · Yes0.2000.065$0.33$0.67
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok? · Yes0.2290.000$0.00$1.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 18:35Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.808$5.66
06-16 12:10Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.879$7.03
06-09 18:52Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.876$4.38
06-07 05:01Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.339$1.70
06-06 04:39Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.23$1.61
06-03 09:31Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.928$5.57
06-01 08:53Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.923$6.46
05-26 02:20Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.924$7.39
05-26 02:20Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.67$6.03
05-26 02:19Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.33$3.30
04-27 13:03U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.2$1.00
04-15 17:46Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.79$3.95
04-15 17:46Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.21$1.89
04-15 17:46Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.092$1.66
04-15 17:46Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.908$6.36