0x2bdef70051dbe351cdfe7248b17123a4cb9f39ae
- Realised P&L
- $-2.45
- Volume
- $578.92
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $6.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.011 | $6.54 | −$3.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.78at 0.920Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 05:50 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0171839307 | $9.78 |
| 05-21 11:18 | Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.00 |