PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

AdrianFuller6610

0x2b71211982ec1a0f51615b7e4a55cbc49c26f1d9

Realised P&L
$-559.36
Volume
$100.9k
Markets traded
263
Open portfolio
$113.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded263
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026? · Yes0.7200.270$98.82$164.70
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026? · No0.1830.418$6.70+$3.77
Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary? · Yes0.8901.000$4.30+$0.47
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.9870.838$3.35$0.60
Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$0.26
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · No0.8700.000$0.00$2.61
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75%? · No0.6150.000$0.00$2.24
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$3.07
Will Delroy Lindo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · No0.9400.000$0.00$86.48
Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$1.11
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31? · No0.3960.000$0.00$0.79
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5? · No0.4520.000$0.00$51.99
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? · No0.3500.000$0.00$13.44
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$0.40
Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31? · No0.2110.000$0.00$1.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-08 20:51Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?SELL0.27$1.62
02-08 16:40Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?SELL0.39$3.12
01-11 18:01Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?SELL0.7$63.82
01-11 17:58Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?SELL0.7$109.90
01-11 17:57Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?SELL0.7$135.68
01-11 16:41Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?BUY0.68$300.56
01-11 15:16Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?SELL0.73$356.24
01-11 14:04Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?SELL0.48$5.76
01-11 05:25Cerebras IPO before 2027?BUY0.27$38.34
01-11 04:36Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?SELL0.66$3.30
01-11 04:14Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?SELL0.69$173.88
01-11 01:07Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?BUY0.69$173.88
01-11 00:44Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?SELL0.23$53.13
01-11 00:14Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?BUY0.47$177.66
01-11 00:05Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?BUY0.67$3.35