AdrianFuller6610
0x2b71211982ec1a0f51615b7e4a55cbc49c26f1d9
- Realised P&L
- $-559.36
- Volume
- $100.9k
- Markets traded
- 263
- Open portfolio
- $113.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded263
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.84at 0.420Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$80.37at 0.859Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?
- +$74.52at 0.160Will the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
- +$72.72at 0.360Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
- +$58.99at 0.165Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-08 20:51 | Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.62 |
| 02-08 16:40 | Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? | SELL | 0.39 | $3.12 |
| 01-11 18:01 | Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.7 | $63.82 |
| 01-11 17:58 | Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.7 | $109.90 |
| 01-11 17:57 | Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.7 | $135.68 |
| 01-11 16:41 | Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.68 | $300.56 |
| 01-11 15:16 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $356.24 |
| 01-11 14:04 | Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division? | SELL | 0.48 | $5.76 |
| 01-11 05:25 | Cerebras IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.27 | $38.34 |
| 01-11 04:36 | Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? | SELL | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 01-11 04:14 | Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes? | SELL | 0.69 | $173.88 |
| 01-11 01:07 | Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes? | BUY | 0.69 | $173.88 |
| 01-11 00:44 | Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $53.13 |
| 01-11 00:14 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division? | BUY | 0.47 | $177.66 |
| 01-11 00:05 | Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |