0x2ae23307900d104cc9e9fffd78fe7598bbfe34d9
- Realised P&L
- $18.67
- Volume
- $231.64
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $81.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fidelity Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.720 | $47.38 | −$0.66 |
| Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.815 | $34.25 | +$0.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.97at 0.780Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$1.73at 0.963Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 13:33 | Will Fidelity Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7299999979 | $48.04 |
| 07-27 10:41 | Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8 | $33.62 |
| 07-27 10:40 | Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.9629999998 | $44.93 |
| 07-27 10:34 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.7799999987 | $60.18 |