PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

winner-king

0x2adb6e27c4218fabc149d4ca7596a7a9dcc03088

Realised P&L
$235.93
Volume
$217.9k
Markets traded
203
Open portfolio
$57.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded203
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9780.975$52.62$0.16
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0230.025$3.05+$0.32
Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? · Yes0.1500.005$1.66$43.73
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.007$0.16$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-11 02:20Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.0362862617$7.77
05-10 00:32Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.003$0.60
05-10 00:31Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.028$12.96
05-09 16:39UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)SELL0.12$1.3k
05-09 16:22UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)SELL0.55$1.4k
05-09 00:22Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.979$204.61
05-07 19:09Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?SELL0.1$11.50
05-07 15:28MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?SELL0.01$5.84
05-07 15:26MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0560661432$31.63
05-07 05:52Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?SELL0.072$2.30
05-06 23:29Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.012$6.00
05-06 03:59US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.29$1.2k
03-31 02:48Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.016$0.86
03-27 00:53Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.026$0.70
02-26 00:09Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETBUY0.61$16.56