LemonOFTradimg
0x2ada2e795d96d9eac2df95bd9615dbf023d72393
- Realised P&L
- $23.69
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $11.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.94at 0.060Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$26.06at 0.161Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$16.39at 0.379Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
- +$9.29at 0.350Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
- +$8.33at 0.330Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 12:51 | Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 12:50 | Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 12:34 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 11:47 | Game 2: Any Player Rampage? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 11:46 | Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 11:46 | First Blood in Game 2? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 18:17 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |
| 06-20 18:16 | Dota 2: Hive vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 18:15 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 14:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 14:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 11:15 | Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 11:07 | Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 05-23 05:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? | SELL | 0.88 | $13.33 |
| 05-14 16:12 | Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |