Tyujik
0x2aba89f1b70e57955021561b77cc8a88acbbcc52
- Realised P&L
- $19.67
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $204.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.635 | $128.11 | +$13.11 |
| Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.191 | $28.65 | −$1.35 |
| Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.082 | $26.45 | +$6.45 |
| Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.034 | $13.01 | −$0.99 |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.040 | $7.90 | +$2.90 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 23:58 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0287511231 | $4.00 |
| 07-20 16:19 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5699999985 | $115.00 |
| 07-20 16:17 | Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 16:17 | Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0619999944 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 16:15 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.025 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 16:15 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0401450537 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 16:15 | Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0619999944 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 16:15 | Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |