sayeds56
0x29be5ca07f707cf86571e94ac683f90d7333ef09
- Realised P&L
- $-6.80
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $0.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $1.20 in August? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.345 | $0.78 | −$0.22 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Up | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.83at 0.260Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.86at 0.350Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
- +$1.78at 0.360Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?
- +$0.49at 0.690Seahawks vs. Patriots
- +$0.45at 0.690Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:10 | Will XRP reach $1.20 in August? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 19:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 19:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7409994324 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 16:53 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 14:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 14:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 14:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 14:06 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $1.00 |
| 04-20 17:40 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 03-14 00:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 08:32 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 08:28 | Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $3.83 |
| 02-20 19:59 | Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 02-14 13:43 | Will BNB dip to $500 in February? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.33 |
| 02-10 07:45 | Will BNB dip to $500 in February? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |