PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

rlaghksquf

0x2946afc37ce5a8b1051b051f2fdb23f2be7d8eb4

Realised P&L
$-609.63
Volume
$235.7k
Markets traded
431
Open portfolio
$2.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded431
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 02:53Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETBUY0.1399999787$5.00
08-01 02:49Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?BUY0.3091168073$70.00
08-01 02:40Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m?BUY0.0985324397$50.00
08-01 02:39Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 320m and 330m?BUY0.0157033696$10.00
08-01 02:38Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?BUY0.0069440104$5.00
07-17 02:37Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETBUY0.1699999952$24.27
07-17 02:37Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETBUY0.32$25.00
07-17 02:34Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETBUY0.0876716172$25.00
07-17 02:32Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETBUY0.602678656$25.00
07-17 01:37Will Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?BUY0.0020630845$1.00
07-17 01:37Will Trump say "Ukraine" during Speech to the Nation?BUY0.0041420119$1.00
07-17 01:37Will Trump say "Iraq" during Speech to the Nation?BUY0.0025415419$1.00
07-17 01:37Will Trump say "World Cup" during Speech to the Nation?BUY0.0021055469$1.00
07-17 01:33Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?BUY0.0091906796$10.00
07-11 15:28UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.2999999975$59.45