irinpod
0x291c2906f3f317245faeee69f43753b6910e8c0c
- Realised P&L
- $3.35
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 197
- Open portfolio
- $101.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded197
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 August 3-9? · No | 0.998 | 0.996 | $101.80 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.68at 0.880Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
- +$0.51at 0.995Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10?
- +$0.39at 0.995Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?
- +$0.38at 0.997Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 20-26?
- +$0.36at 0.943Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.998 | $102.00 |
| 07-21 11:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.9971805263 | $101.00 |
| 07-14 09:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.997 | $101.00 |
| 05-25 11:34 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 May 25-31? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 05-05 11:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 4-10? | BUY | 0.995 | $101.00 |
| 04-27 11:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 April 27-May 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $113.03 |
| 04-21 08:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 20-26? | BUY | 0.9966749377 | $112.66 |
| 04-13 14:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 13-19? | BUY | 0.998 | $112.47 |
| 04-07 04:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 6-12? | BUY | 0.999 | $112.38 |
| 04-02 06:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $112.28 |
| 03-25 16:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 26? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.0k |
| 03-25 16:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 26? | BUY | 0.9989999993 | $1.0k |
| 03-25 16:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 26? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.0k |
| 03-25 16:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 26? | BUY | 0.9989999993 | $1.0k |
| 03-25 16:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 26? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.0k |