PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x28dcb1f497e8a8109c93b8bf2aee52e61ba1db05

Realised P&L
$7.73
Volume
$564.00
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$118.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration91.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-30 20:37Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.81$6.48
06-22 19:04Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.8$4.00
06-21 18:27Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.83$13.28
06-21 04:55Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.91$7.28
06-18 18:35Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.77$3.85
06-18 05:55Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.14$1.12
06-16 02:26Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.122$1.22
06-13 13:21U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.91$9.10
06-11 06:56Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.887$7.10
06-08 09:46Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.78$4.68
06-06 03:10Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.33$3.63
06-03 17:16Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.16$1.28
05-25 06:10Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.934$11.21
05-23 02:17Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.77$3.85
04-27 18:23Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.231$1.85