0x28868cbc1eece4abd768dc430fe099a0bcf70405
- Realised P&L
- $-151.66
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 320
- Open portfolio
- $43.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded320
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.56at 0.515Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 3?
- +$17.62at 0.635Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 23?
- +$10.99at 0.630Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 27?
- +$10.65at 0.639Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 25?
- +$9.40at 0.620Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:52 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4899999147 | $2.70 |
| 08-04 17:52 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4899999801 | $5.67 |
| 08-04 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4799998899 | $1.57 |
| 08-04 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4099999803 | $5.20 |
| 08-04 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.60 |
| 08-04 06:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.8499999947 | $7.98 |
| 08-04 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.51 |
| 08-03 18:49 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.09 |
| 08-02 17:06 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.3399999168 | $2.37 |
| 08-02 17:06 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.6199998287 | $3.33 |
| 08-02 04:48 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.5 | $18.52 |
| 08-01 15:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.05 |
| 08-01 15:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.5999999306 | $1.73 |
| 08-01 10:47 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.638240678 | $18.83 |
| 07-31 16:41 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.03 |