0x287c65954c1cb4b7fdfe84b38fb38f213620d68f
- Realised P&L
- $359.98
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $55.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship? · Yes | 0.211 | 0.305 | $14.47 | +$4.47 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.362 | 0.213 | $11.80 | −$8.20 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.033 | $8.05 | −$1.95 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 TOUR Championship? · Yes | 0.165 | 0.120 | $7.27 | −$2.73 |
| Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 TOUR Championship? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.072 | $7.25 | −$2.75 |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 TOUR Championship? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.058 | $7.10 | −$2.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$420.25at 0.110Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 The Open Championship?
- +$42.41at 0.029Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?
- +$34.88at 0.129Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$26.90at 0.270Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
- +$26.06at 0.277Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 18:27 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | BUY | 0.2107360281 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 18:27 | Will Cameron Young win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | BUY | 0.0816513687 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 18:27 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | BUY | 0.1651376024 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 18:26 | Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 18:12 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3619999936 | $20.00 |
| 07-20 18:12 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0409999959 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 17:44 | Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 The Open Championship? | SELL | 0.999 | $472.25 |
| 07-19 16:56 | Will Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship? | BUY | 0.5989999916 | $19.93 |
| 07-19 09:51 | Will Sam Burns win the 2026 The Open Championship? | BUY | 0.4109999959 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 09:51 | Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 The Open Championship? | BUY | 0.1659999974 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 09:49 | Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 The Open Championship? | BUY | 0.1099999982 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 09:47 | Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 The Open Championship? | BUY | 0.0659999698 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 09:46 | Will Lucas Herbert win the 2026 The Open Championship? | BUY | 0.051999976 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 09:46 | Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 The Open Championship? | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 09:45 | Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 The Open Championship? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.26 |