noooooooooooooooooooob
0x2845c59553047bd75fabe910c9c461ddf05eb637
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $906.1k
- Markets traded
- 7,350
- Open portfolio
- $28.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,350
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.128 | 0.150 | $23.29 | +$3.45 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 4? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.130 | $2.38 | −$3.29 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.011 | $1.58 | −$2.29 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? · No | 0.030 | 0.002 | $1.05 | −$14.61 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 4? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.235 | $0.50 | +$0.37 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$0.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$3.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 4? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$7.57 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$1.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$754.85at 0.043Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?
- +$672.12at 0.039Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on March 10?
- +$661.45at 0.120Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 7?
- +$606.29at 0.018Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 26?
- +$548.84at 0.022Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 11:27 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.90 |
| 08-04 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 08-04 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 08-04 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.0960168472 | $0.80 |
| 08-04 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.63 |
| 08-04 07:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 06:53 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 08-04 05:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 08-04 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 08-04 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 08-04 05:20 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 08-04 05:20 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-04 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 08-04 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-04 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.06 |