0x28028e829d930f690b1c05b8c61fc9787a92f2f5
- Realised P&L
- $-255.64
- Volume
- $71.7k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $0.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 4? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.004 | $0.48 | −$2.28 |
| Solana Up or Down - August 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Down | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.16at 0.119Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5?
- +$12.10at 0.260Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
- +$10.45at 0.290Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 3?
- +$10.39at 0.012Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?
- +$9.00at 0.020Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:06 | Solana Up or Down - August 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $3.14 |
| 08-04 16:05 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $3.30 |
| 08-04 16:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.76 |
| 08-04 16:01 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August? | SELL | 0.012 | $4.33 |
| 08-04 03:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August? | BUY | 0.0129999973 | $4.69 |
| 08-04 03:15 | BNB Up or Down - August 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $5.08 |
| 08-04 03:04 | BNB Up or Down - August 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999097 | $2.19 |
| 08-04 03:01 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 03:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 02:52 | Bitcoin above 63,600 on August 3, 11PM ET? | BUY | 0.0454105859 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 02:51 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 02:51 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 02:50 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-04 02:47 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |