pbldr
0x27e57a53727c62e6d10eaaa71007b2dbc1690b32
- Realised P&L
- $-23.86
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 183
- Open portfolio
- $37.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded183
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.69at 0.075Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5
- +$14.87at 0.070Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5
- +$10.29at 0.129Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
- +$9.12at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 4?
- +$6.32at 0.225Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:41 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.16 |
| 08-04 20:41 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.24 |
| 08-04 20:41 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.49 |
| 08-04 20:41 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 08-04 20:41 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.99 |
| 08-04 20:38 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 20:38 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 08-04 20:14 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.99 |
| 08-04 20:08 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.98 |
| 08-04 18:34 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 17:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.89 |
| 08-04 17:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.98 |
| 08-04 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.59 |
| 08-04 14:26 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3099999295 | $1.98 |
| 08-04 14:26 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.98 |