PolyBot

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Traders

0x2782193328031edbf09080b56cb555ff3ae46207

Realised P&L
$-79.66
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$0.66

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 4? · Yes0.0200.004$0.66$3.12
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$35.20
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 20? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$3.38
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? · Down0.3100.000$0.00$25.50
Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on July 21? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$6.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET · Down0.3700.000$0.00$3.00
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on July 22? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$19.36
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on July 23? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00$25.28
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? · Up0.2870.000$0.00$50.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 13:28Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 4?BUY0.02$3.78
08-02 08:45Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?SELL0.26$18.14
08-02 07:12Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?BUY0.129999989$9.07
08-01 18:21Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 1?SELL0.161$28.58
08-01 05:18Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 1?BUY0.052$9.23
07-31 18:42Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?SELL0.33$25.52
07-31 17:52Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?BUY0.25$19.33
07-31 15:34Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.3699999272$3.00
07-31 13:58Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETSELL0.81$3.18
07-31 13:57Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.3299999086$1.30
07-31 13:47Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?SELL0.012$1.52
07-31 08:11Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?BUY0.12$6.51
07-31 07:07Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?BUY0.2068468265$6.56
07-31 06:25Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?BUY0.2999999853$12.22
07-30 08:32Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30?BUY0.3099999936$25.50