0x2782193328031edbf09080b56cb555ff3ae46207
- Realised P&L
- $-79.66
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $0.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 4? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.004 | $0.66 | −$3.12 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.20 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 20? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.38 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? · Down | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.50 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on July 21? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.69 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET · Down | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on July 22? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.36 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on July 23? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.28 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 22? · Up | 0.287 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.76at 0.242Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20?
- +$19.35at 0.052Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 1?
- +$18.85at 0.341Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$9.07at 0.130Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?
- +$6.19at 0.250Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 13:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.02 | $3.78 |
| 08-02 08:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? | SELL | 0.26 | $18.14 |
| 08-02 07:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? | BUY | 0.129999989 | $9.07 |
| 08-01 18:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 1? | SELL | 0.161 | $28.58 |
| 08-01 05:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.052 | $9.23 |
| 07-31 18:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | SELL | 0.33 | $25.52 |
| 07-31 17:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | BUY | 0.25 | $19.33 |
| 07-31 15:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999272 | $3.00 |
| 07-31 13:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $3.18 |
| 07-31 13:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3299999086 | $1.30 |
| 07-31 13:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | SELL | 0.012 | $1.52 |
| 07-31 08:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.51 |
| 07-31 07:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.2068468265 | $6.56 |
| 07-31 06:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.2999999853 | $12.22 |
| 07-30 08:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.3099999936 | $25.50 |