PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

rolser

0x2778680e7c3e30508cd46c9c662ecabde6ca8547

Realised P&L
$-20.6k
Volume
$7.22M
Markets traded
3,083
Open portfolio
$880.52

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,083
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration50.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.0850.065$880.52$265.14
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2350.000$0.00$2.6k
Spread: France (-1.5) · France0.3000.000$0.00$557.54
Spread: Norway (-1.5) · Norway0.0860.000$0.00$459.38
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00$43.23
Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$1.5k
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00$579.99
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) · Argentina0.1200.000$0.00$11.72
Will Erling Haaland score 12+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$5.00
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway0.2830.000$0.00$6.2k
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$2.3k
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$542.90
Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1080.000$0.00$195.36
Will Erling Haaland score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00$95.00
Spread: France (-2.5) · France0.1400.000$0.00$4.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 14:29Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.0855133459$393.67
08-01 14:28US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.09$393.67
07-31 21:06US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.08$150.00
07-31 19:49US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.1$250.00
07-31 19:47Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.0840901728$752.00
07-29 22:05US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.0769466004$43.23
07-29 21:16US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.0918713763$43.23
07-29 20:08US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.0840760962$39.56
07-27 20:48US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.524$39.56
07-20 06:05US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.08$6.04
07-20 05:40Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?SELL0.05$0.38
07-20 05:40Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.32$1.00
07-18 17:49Spread: France (-2.5)BUY0.1399999778$4.67
07-18 14:09Spread: France (-1.5)BUY0.2999999997$557.54
07-18 14:09Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.5199999999$1.5k