rolser
0x2778680e7c3e30508cd46c9c662ecabde6ca8547
- Realised P&L
- $-20.6k
- Volume
- $7.22M
- Markets traded
- 3,083
- Open portfolio
- $880.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,083
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.2kat 0.170Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
- +$13.4kat 0.051US military action against Iran by Saturday?
- +$6.0kat 0.200Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$4.8kat 0.305Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$4.7kat 0.457Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 14:29 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0855133459 | $393.67 |
| 08-01 14:28 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $393.67 |
| 07-31 21:06 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $150.00 |
| 07-31 19:49 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $250.00 |
| 07-31 19:47 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0840901728 | $752.00 |
| 07-29 22:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.0769466004 | $43.23 |
| 07-29 21:16 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.0918713763 | $43.23 |
| 07-29 20:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.0840760962 | $39.56 |
| 07-27 20:48 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.524 | $39.56 |
| 07-20 06:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.08 | $6.04 |
| 07-20 05:40 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.38 |
| 07-20 05:40 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 17:49 | Spread: France (-2.5) | BUY | 0.1399999778 | $4.67 |
| 07-18 14:09 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2999999997 | $557.54 |
| 07-18 14:09 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.5199999999 | $1.5k |