jordangreen
0x2740026e38fcc1eb6dc3ecb5072d754a548ec72e
- Realised P&L
- $-2.52
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $25.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.998 | $15.96 | −$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 9? · No | 0.980 | 1.000 | $10.00 | +$0.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6? · No | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 9? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.87at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?
- +$11.76at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?
- +$1.22at 0.910Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 6?
- +$1.17at 0.900Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
- +$0.90at 0.900Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 07:01 | Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.97 |
| 07-28 05:35 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.99 |
| 07-01 01:49 | Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.99 |
| 06-29 02:48 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.98 |
| 06-29 00:05 | Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05? | BUY | 0.94 | $11.28 |
| 06-28 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $13.72 |
| 06-27 12:48 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.89 |
| 06-26 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 26? | BUY | 0.98 | $14.70 |
| 06-25 12:56 | Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 06-25 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 26? | BUY | 0.987 | $9.87 |
| 06-24 12:15 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 43°C on June 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $11.88 |
| 06-24 01:45 | Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17? | SELL | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 06-23 20:48 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 24? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 06-23 01:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 23? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 06-22 00:08 | Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |