invokerpionist
0x26edd26a54d4078055030ead42e3a6f362e0ca2b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $209.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No | 0.977 | 0.993 | $58.55 | +$0.91 |
| UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? · No | 0.959 | 0.957 | $55.48 | −$0.14 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-03 House seat? · No | 0.971 | 0.976 | $52.68 | +$0.24 |
| Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%? · No | 0.973 | 0.854 | $42.70 | −$5.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$750.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on August 21?
- +$602.00at 0.500Mariners vs. Phillies
- +$513.04at 0.560Diamondbacks vs. Tigers
- +$485.01at 0.490Cubs vs. Brewers
- +$294.00at 0.500XRP Up or Down on August 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 06:11 | Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $53.46 |
| 08-19 10:30 | Solana Up or Down on August 21? | BUY | 0.5 | $750.00 |
| 08-18 13:12 | Mariners vs. Phillies | BUY | 0.5 | $602.00 |
| 08-13 07:01 | Dream vs Storm | BUY | 0.5 | $640.00 |
| 08-11 06:34 | XRP Up or Down on August 12? | BUY | 0.5 | $294.00 |
| 08-08 06:23 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $254.00 |
| 08-06 06:48 | Solana Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.5 | $200.00 |
| 08-05 06:22 | Twins vs. Tigers | BUY | 0.55 | $783.20 |
| 07-29 11:00 | Diamondbacks vs. Tigers | BUY | 0.56 | $652.96 |
| 07-28 13:08 | Cubs vs. Brewers | BUY | 0.49 | $465.99 |
| 04-09 13:14 | Spurs vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.92 | $460.00 |
| 04-08 13:50 | Kraken vs. Utah | BUY | 0.6799999996 | $290.00 |
| 04-02 11:58 | Knicks vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.8099999996 | $227.00 |
| 03-26 07:14 | Will a #1 seed lose in the Sweet 16? | BUY | 0.6699999999 | $137.00 |
| 03-25 07:14 | Spurs vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.779999997 | $218.00 |