0x52a5f0ACCC3C16699c1427CCcFebbC85e25C9F8A-1777904603173
0x261cd9178bc0bf4edad8b5faf925043efa677bf3
- Realised P&L
- $-557.66
- Volume
- $33.2k
- Markets traded
- 3,436
- Open portfolio
- $30.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,436
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.08at 0.160Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
- +$25.94at 0.780Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
- +$22.96at 0.080Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
- +$20.81at 0.276BNB Up or Down - April 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
- +$18.15at 0.213Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0073496601 | $1.12 |
| 08-04 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0855882158 | $3.88 |
| 08-04 02:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.0207692308 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 17:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 15:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.14999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 17:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.209999917 | $1.62 |
| 08-02 17:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0899999671 | $2.38 |
| 08-02 12:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 08-02 12:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0666666667 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 12:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.21 |
| 08-02 12:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.80 |
| 07-14 21:11 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 21:04 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $2.71 |
| 07-14 21:01 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |