JessicaCollins4978
0x2604bc7332bcf55469fdc9560f891d75754713cc
- Realised P&L
- $756.95
- Volume
- $270.9k
- Markets traded
- 347
- Open portfolio
- $432.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded347
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.20at 0.800Will Trump say "Biden" during oil executive meetings on Friday?
- +$128.55at 0.780Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$95.04at 0.220Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?
- +$68.14at 0.850Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
- +$67.32at 0.820Will Flying Tulip launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 04:39 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $28.56 |
| 02-08 14:27 | Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $236.60 |
| 01-10 23:19 | Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.18 | $4.32 |
| 01-10 23:12 | Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season? | SELL | 0.77 | $28.49 |
| 01-10 21:24 | Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? | SELL | 0.923 | $63.69 |
| 01-10 20:06 | Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7798880137 | $455.45 |
| 01-10 19:42 | Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes? | SELL | 0.24 | $37.44 |
| 01-10 19:39 | Rippling IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.6 | $38.40 |
| 01-10 17:49 | Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes? | SELL | 0.25 | $12.25 |
| 01-10 14:04 | Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party? | SELL | 0.68 | $286.96 |
| 01-10 12:29 | Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.25 |
| 01-10 07:52 | Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division? | SELL | 0.74 | $268.62 |
| 01-10 03:58 | Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player? | SELL | 0.373 | $17.90 |
| 01-10 03:25 | Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division? | BUY | 0.75 | $272.25 |
| 01-10 02:27 | Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026? | BUY | 0.188 | $11.09 |