0x25B48134D3E344437FD4dC754737be1E7c8F17b2-1773838672611
0x25b48134d3e344437fd4dc754737be1e7c8f17b2
- Realised P&L
- $-23.75
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 862
- Open portfolio
- $59.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded862
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.74at 0.230Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$15.92at 0.201Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on March 23?
- +$9.00at 0.100Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$5.64at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
- +$5.41at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8599999828 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 22:00 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8499999717 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 21:59 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.7899999631 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 21:59 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 21:59 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8245032639 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 21:58 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.81 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 21:58 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8899999733 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 21:57 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8299999557 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 21:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 21:57 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.07 |
| 08-04 14:43 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 11:58 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.95 | $3.47 |
| 08-04 11:08 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.97 | $3.59 |