Ra1231
0x25913e51deba45f901eb2261bbc6d7facb644b80
- Realised P&L
- $-54.37
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 176
- Open portfolio
- $5.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded176
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITF Poprad: Nikita Mashtakov vs Sebastian Sec · Nikita Mashtakov | 0.700 | 0.700 | $5.60 | +$0.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.77at 0.250ITF Huamantla: Maribel Aguilar Gasperin vs Ashleigh Harvey
- +$41.61at 0.388Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers
- +$35.28at 0.520Istanbul 2: Tuncay Duran vs Antoine Ghibaudo
- +$24.41at 0.660ITF Koszalin: Giammarco Gandolfi vs Niklas Guttau
- +$20.36at 0.200Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 05:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $8.04 |
| 08-04 05:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999816 | $8.26 |
| 08-04 04:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | SELL | 0.77 | $8.61 |
| 08-04 04:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.8099999964 | $9.06 |
| 08-04 04:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | SELL | 0.77 | $9.06 |
| 08-04 04:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.789999989 | $9.30 |
| 08-04 04:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $8.43 |
| 08-04 03:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $7.91 |
| 08-04 02:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $8.69 |
| 08-04 02:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $5.09 |
| 08-04 02:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999648 | $5.79 |
| 08-04 01:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999774 | $5.09 |
| 08-04 01:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999171 | $6.48 |
| 08-04 01:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | SELL | 0.41 | $0.14 |
| 08-04 01:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999774 | $5.09 |