Rururt
0x25771b5a1cee02764917f5648c39a2c401cf2f2e
- Realised P&L
- $-53.08
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $194.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? · Down | 0.650 | 0.655 | $131.00 | +$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1AM ET · Down | 0.386 | 0.345 | $48.29 | −$5.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.07at 0.322Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?
- +$60.32at 0.624Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?
- +$54.81at 0.523Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12PM ET
- +$50.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 11PM ET
- +$39.00at 0.719Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.3858571429 | $54.02 |
| 08-03 05:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.65 | $130.00 |
| 08-03 05:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.8194166667 | $491.65 |
| 08-02 15:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.5225965482 | $60.00 |
| 08-02 12:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? | BUY | 0.6237623751 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 12:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8AM ET | SELL | 0.3438 | $34.38 |
| 08-02 11:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.26 | $52.00 |
| 08-02 11:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.478 | $47.80 |
| 08-02 11:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.4268333333 | $51.22 |
| 08-02 09:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 08-02 09:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.7194244604 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 09:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5AM ET | SELL | 0.283493 | $28.35 |
| 08-02 09:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.32 | $32.00 |
| 08-02 08:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.33 | $33.00 |
| 08-02 08:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $54.00 |