ysok
0x254f2b95128466b03813f100ff3baa03cdbb7cc0
- Realised P&L
- $-871.58
- Volume
- $23.2k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $23.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.90at 0.150Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$6.23at 0.340Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?
- +$6.00at 0.640Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$4.19at 0.161Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 44m?
- +$3.78at 0.120Will Jordan Walker win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 06:53 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.04 |
| 07-18 14:55 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.45 | $21.60 |
| 07-18 14:55 | Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee? | SELL | 0.43 | $21.44 |
| 07-18 14:55 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $32.28 |
| 07-18 14:55 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.429138 | $25.75 |
| 07-18 14:55 | Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.52 | $31.20 |
| 07-16 05:54 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $32.27 |
| 07-15 06:30 | Will Jio Platforms IPO by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $0.56 |
| 07-15 06:28 | Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 07-15 06:27 | Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? | SELL | 0.2561800269 | $5.72 |
| 07-15 06:27 | Will EDward Gaming Win More than 4.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2 | SELL | 0.62 | $3.72 |
| 07-14 14:33 | Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | SELL | 0.26 | $6.79 |
| 07-14 14:33 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? | SELL | 0.0688333333 | $8.26 |
| 07-14 14:32 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 07-14 14:32 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.308 | $15.40 |