0x251B45a349933B77E0619700F89A8db66E76cf04-1774346129293
0x251b45a349933b77e0619700f89a8db66e76cf04
- Realised P&L
- $-55.07
- Volume
- $27.3k
- Markets traded
- 881
- Open portfolio
- $10.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded881
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.89at 0.122US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$27.01at 0.096Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on April 14?
- +$14.38at 0.258Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on May 3?
- +$12.51at 0.280US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
- +$10.39at 0.278Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.1619046416 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0818181082 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0351031154 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 11:42 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 03:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 03:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 03:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 06:32 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.045999957 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 02:35 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 18? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 02:35 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 18? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 02:35 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 18? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 02:44 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 16? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 02:43 | Will Michael Baba win The Bachelorette Season 22? | SELL | 0.005127368 | $0.43 |
| 07-16 02:43 | Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | SELL | 0.0120586559 | $0.80 |