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0x251B45a349933B77E0619700F89A8db66E76cf04-1774346129293

0x251b45a349933b77e0619700f89a8db66e76cf04

Realised P&L
$-55.07
Volume
$27.3k
Markets traded
881
Open portfolio
$10.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded881
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 06:06Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6?BUY0.1619046416$1.00
08-04 06:05Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 6?BUY0.0818181082$1.00
08-04 06:05Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 6?BUY0.0351031154$1.00
08-04 06:04Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
08-02 11:42Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 3?BUY0.3499998775$1.00
08-01 03:15Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 2?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
08-01 03:14Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 2?BUY0.29999982$1.00
08-01 03:14Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 2?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
07-31 06:32Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?BUY0.045999957$1.00
07-17 02:35Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 18?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
07-17 02:35Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 18?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
07-17 02:35Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 18?BUY0.25$1.00
07-16 02:44Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 16?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
07-16 02:43Will Michael Baba win The Bachelorette Season 22?SELL0.005127368$0.43
07-16 02:43Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?SELL0.0120586559$0.80
Trader 0x251B45a349933B77E0619700F89A8db66E76cf04-1774346129293 · PolyBot