SXematoz
0x24edd5f8eab7f66a77fd5b7f4e7c507761ed8a18
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $107.0k
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $0.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 4? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.001 | $0.51 | −$50.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 1? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.96 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on August 2? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.43 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 2? · Yes | 0.389 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$396.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 1? · Yes | 0.536 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$164.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.645Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 25-31?
- +$704.16at 0.319Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 24?
- +$564.42at 0.376Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 10?
- +$552.97at 0.447Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 29?
- +$512.99at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 20:15 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.097285548 | $28.42 |
| 08-01 14:56 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.2641067762 | $38.59 |
| 08-01 14:36 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.535303626 | $147.04 |
| 08-01 14:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.47 | $96.56 |
| 08-01 11:41 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $424.88 |
| 08-01 11:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.4365034764 | $258.03 |
| 08-01 11:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.0385491537 | $23.12 |
| 08-01 11:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.3884861418 | $223.00 |
| 08-01 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.6156443259 | $313.78 |
| 08-01 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.0836293524 | $7.37 |
| 07-31 13:26 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $51.40 |
| 07-31 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $33.12 |
| 07-31 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 31? | BUY | 0.28 | $4.20 |
| 07-31 09:26 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.81 |
| 07-31 08:58 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 31? | BUY | 0.5092920354 | $57.55 |