0x2468E5Dd4f17baf135130d80c08635C12FFB3280-1774735958786
0x2468e5dd4f17baf135130d80c08635c12ffb3280
- Realised P&L
- $-73.04
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $36.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.64at 0.289Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?
- +$57.61at 0.480UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$39.02at 0.470Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score
- +$37.90at 0.578Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
- +$29.94at 0.610Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 21:38 | Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.64 | $6.10 |
| 06-16 21:37 | Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 21:36 | Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5499999931 | $20.00 |
| 06-16 21:34 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.107 | $32.32 |
| 06-15 22:27 | Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.2961896569 | $11.66 |
| 06-15 21:07 | Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.5399999921 | $26.00 |
| 06-15 20:57 | Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $8.47 |
| 06-15 20:57 | Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $9.04 |
| 06-15 20:55 | Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.91 | $2.88 |
| 06-15 20:55 | Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.92 | $3.10 |
| 06-15 20:54 | Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.9 | $3.51 |
| 06-15 20:54 | Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.92 | $3.83 |
| 06-15 20:27 | Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.4169252078 | $6.02 |
| 06-15 20:01 | Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 06-15 19:27 | Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |