MMJP
0x24682d618c62d1ccaea9a5738becdb3202174826
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $41.8k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $677.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.123 | 0.065 | $462.95 | −$412.53 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.111 | 0.045 | $190.21 | −$280.24 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.025 | $11.78 | −$16.26 |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.015 | $11.59 | −$28.40 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.080 | $1.28 | −$2.08 |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.65at 0.130MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.41at 0.051Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?
- +$1.00at 0.330MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
- +$0.89at 0.320Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.10at 0.340Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 05:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0537756552 | $383.01 |
| 07-29 05:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0226843808 | $72.07 |
| 07-29 05:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $191.60 |
| 07-29 05:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0261534291 | $17.56 |
| 07-29 05:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $160.00 |
| 07-11 10:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $98.44 |
| 07-11 10:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.023 | $27.39 |
| 07-11 10:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $378.00 |
| 07-11 10:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $60.00 |
| 06-12 16:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $19.47 |
| 06-08 00:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $54.18 |
| 06-07 02:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $168.00 |
| 06-07 02:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $104.00 |
| 06-07 02:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $112.00 |
| 06-05 01:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999972 | $20.00 |