totorocatbus
0x23d5d3361de3a6e3823bdcd5b9dd1db50b924fb3
- Realised P&L
- $26.42
- Volume
- $639.79
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $103.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.80at 0.380Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
- +$14.88at 0.402Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of July 13 2026?
- +$13.29at 0.790Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?
- +$11.80at 0.740Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$6.17at 0.690Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 17:27 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $10.33 |
| 07-20 13:53 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of July 20 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 13:32 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 20? | BUY | 0.1741935027 | $3.00 |
| 07-16 17:43 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September? | BUY | 0.0946073794 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 16:59 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 13:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 12:58 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999666 | $20.00 |
| 07-14 12:58 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.58393 | $11.68 |
| 07-14 12:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.7299999942 | $30.00 |
| 07-14 12:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.976 | $48.80 |
| 07-13 10:55 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.6999999776 | $25.00 |
| 07-13 10:53 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | BUY | 0.6999999837 | $30.00 |
| 07-13 10:41 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of July 13 2026? | BUY | 0.4019607729 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 15:49 | Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.3461538115 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 14:24 | Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $50.00 |