PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

totorocatbus

0x23d5d3361de3a6e3823bdcd5b9dd1db50b924fb3

Realised P&L
$26.42
Volume
$639.79
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$103.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.7300.755$31.03+$1.03
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7000.800$28.57+$3.57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.7600.860$22.63+$2.63
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.5800.645$11.12+$1.12
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September? · Yes0.0950.105$5.55+$0.55
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · No0.3460.335$4.84$0.16
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00$5.76
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · No0.7000.000$0.00$10.50
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of July 20 2026? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00$5.00
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? · Yes0.5640.000$0.00$6.00
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? · No0.7000.000$0.00$30.00
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 20? · Down0.1740.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 17:27New pandemic in 2026?SELL0.93$10.33
07-20 13:53Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of July 20 2026?BUY0.5599999776$5.00
07-20 13:32Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on July 20?BUY0.1741935027$3.00
07-16 17:43Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?BUY0.0946073794$5.00
07-16 16:59Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.5799999861$10.00
07-14 13:05Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?BUY0.64$10.00
07-14 12:58Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7599999666$20.00
07-14 12:58Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.58393$11.68
07-14 12:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.7299999942$30.00
07-14 12:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.976$48.80
07-13 10:55Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.6999999776$25.00
07-13 10:53Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?BUY0.6999999837$30.00
07-13 10:41Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of July 13 2026?BUY0.4019607729$10.00
07-11 15:49Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.3461538115$5.00
07-11 14:24Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?BUY0.7899999997$50.00