Vash
0x238766f0ae9b8f37fd8789e646a53bac30c02a96
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $208.3k
- Markets traded
- 741
- Open portfolio
- $314.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded741
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.042LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
- +$391.67at 0.060Ethereum above $2,400 on September 13?
- +$292.23at 0.369Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$214.05at 0.482Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
- +$195.00at 0.300Will the U.S. win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 05:45 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.211 | $128.41 |
| 07-09 10:05 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0609999978 | $25.00 |
| 07-09 09:48 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 07-09 08:36 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 08:33 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 08:29 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 07-09 08:27 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 22:29 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0349999983 | $20.00 |
| 06-17 06:29 | Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.2370117558 | $50.00 |
| 06-17 01:25 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1119999991 | $100.00 |
| 06-14 10:08 | LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.12 | $3.60 |
| 06-14 09:59 | LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 09:56 | LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.4599999908 | $25.00 |
| 06-14 09:54 | LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $8.54 |
| 06-14 09:13 | LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner | SELL | 0.99 | $54.99 |