matteorenzi
0x23476c893433c537c56c2479003d8c97dd315adf
- Realised P&L
- $-725.60
- Volume
- $69.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,937
- Open portfolio
- $17.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,937
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$489.33at 0.499Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$453.93at 0.096Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
- +$160.82at 0.477Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
- +$69.38at 0.160Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 13?
- +$66.07at 0.385Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2584375 | $1.65 |
| 08-04 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.29 |
| 08-03 17:30 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.83 |
| 08-03 17:30 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.78 |
| 08-03 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.84 |
| 08-03 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.77 |
| 08-03 15:48 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.44 |
| 08-02 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.61 |
| 08-02 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3785 | $2.95 |
| 08-02 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.85 |
| 08-02 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.38 |
| 08-02 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.0461050061 | $0.38 |
| 08-02 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3507407407 | $1.89 |
| 08-02 04:53 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |