ao.2432
0x23385042f967a476e6612fadc19da73c6c58a7f7
- Realised P&L
- $242.05
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,884
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,884
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration2.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.35at 0.810Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 4?
- +$2.35at 0.810Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 31?
- +$2.35at 0.810Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 29?
- +$2.35at 0.810Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 28?
- +$2.35at 0.810Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:14 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8199999902 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 08-04 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8399999966 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 18:22 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 17:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 17:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 08-04 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 17:24 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 16:44 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 16:30 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 16:30 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 08-04 16:28 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 16:28 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 16:28 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 16:28 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.85 | $10.00 |