Sarumantheyellow
0x23205306fbdd0e0a3cfd20c2052ee09ce6354869
- Realised P&L
- $14.5k
- Volume
- $972.4k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $5.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · Yes | 0.987 | 1.000 | $5.9k | +$71.09 |
| France leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$630.00 |
| United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners · Over | 0.755 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.880Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?
- +$2.0kat 0.729France vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
- +$1.8kat 0.761England vs. DR Congo: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
- +$1.7kat 0.906Will France win on 2026-06-22?
- +$1.3kat 0.860Paraguay vs. France: O/U 6.5 Total Corners
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:11 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $79.56 |
| 08-01 19:52 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.9881 | $296.43 |
| 08-01 19:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.987446346 | $33.3k |
| 07-31 19:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $60.17 |
| 07-31 19:52 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $13.1k |
| 07-31 19:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.9949562103 | $2.1k |
| 07-31 19:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.9932400446 | $18.3k |
| 07-30 01:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29? | BUY | 0.9909380947 | $5.0k |
| 07-30 00:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29? | BUY | 0.996 | $199.20 |
| 07-30 00:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28? | SELL | 0.997 | $260.72 |
| 07-30 00:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29? | BUY | 0.996 | $3.5k |
| 07-30 00:14 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28? | SELL | 0.997 | $3.4k |
| 07-30 00:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29? | BUY | 0.995 | $199.00 |
| 07-30 00:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28? | SELL | 0.997 | $199.40 |
| 07-30 00:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29? | BUY | 0.995 | $199.00 |