0x231d04a9ac8a642cf78aa68f1410e5f554706e56
- Realised P&L
- $-356.17
- Volume
- $126.7k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $1.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.39at 0.008Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$2.07at 0.008Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
- +$1.13at 0.715Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
- +$1.06at 0.024Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
- +$0.73at 0.025Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-30 20:26 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $13.39 |
| 03-30 17:14 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.12 | $9.01 |
| 03-30 17:13 | Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | SELL | 0.67 | $3.71 |
| 03-30 17:01 | Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | SELL | 0.034 | $3.10 |
| 03-30 17:01 | Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.001 | $19.37 |
| 03-30 16:49 | Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.67 |
| 03-30 14:53 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.15 | $54.39 |
| 03-30 11:46 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? | BUY | 0.0415770194 | $41.98 |
| 03-30 07:41 | Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 03-30 07:31 | Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.34 |
| 03-30 02:20 | Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | SELL | 0.325 | $11.11 |
| 03-30 01:49 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.12 | $51.86 |
| 03-30 01:36 | Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | SELL | 0.01 | $12.36 |
| 03-29 23:56 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | SELL | 0.41 | $41.35 |
| 03-29 23:14 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.11 | $77.42 |