PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x231d04a9ac8a642cf78aa68f1410e5f554706e56

Realised P&L
$-356.17
Volume
$126.7k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$1.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0620.088$0.98+$0.29
Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? · Yes0.1290.001$0.06$15.42
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0140.004$0.05$0.15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$11.60
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$49.18
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$50.21
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$15.29
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$3.48
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$5.09
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$3.55
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$1.38
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$51.18
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$3.21
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison? · Yes0.1380.000$0.00$5.12
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$15.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-30 20:26New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? SELL0.08$13.39
03-30 17:14Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.12$9.01
03-30 17:13Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL0.67$3.71
03-30 17:01Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?SELL0.034$3.10
03-30 17:01Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.001$19.37
03-30 16:49Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.002$10.67
03-30 14:53Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.15$54.39
03-30 11:46Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?BUY0.0415770194$41.98
03-30 07:41Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.002$0.20
03-30 07:31Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.002$0.34
03-30 02:20Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?SELL0.325$11.11
03-30 01:49Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.12$51.86
03-30 01:36Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL0.01$12.36
03-29 23:56Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?SELL0.41$41.35
03-29 23:14Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.11$77.42
Trader 0x231d…6e56 · PolyBot