888zzz
0x22abe864546fddefb2a06f2e60ddd4de09b9bedc
- Realised P&L
- $385.19
- Volume
- $127.6k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $2.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? · No | 0.918 | 0.988 | $2.73 | +$0.19 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be below 50.0 in July? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.005 | $0.10 | −$5.70 |
| Hurricanes vs. Panthers · Hurricanes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$184.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$595.00at 0.500Jazz vs. Suns
- +$88.20at 0.510Utah vs. Bruins
- +$50.00at 0.500Pelicans vs. Kings
- +$2.22at 0.977Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.97at 0.988Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 13:41 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 15? | SELL | 0.58 | $5.22 |
| 07-15 13:41 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 15? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 07-15 13:40 | Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 07-15 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on July 15? | SELL | 0.4 | $6.97 |
| 07-15 13:31 | Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 07-15 13:27 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.469516 | $23.48 |
| 07-15 13:25 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 07-15 13:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 16? | SELL | 0.4631969309 | $14.49 |
| 07-15 13:19 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 15? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.33 |
| 07-15 13:18 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 15? | SELL | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 07-15 13:12 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 16? | SELL | 0.51 | $5.72 |
| 07-15 13:09 | Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? | SELL | 0.2925 | $5.85 |
| 07-15 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 15? | SELL | 0.39 | $2.80 |
| 07-15 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 15? | SELL | 0.5 | $22.50 |
| 07-15 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 15? | SELL | 0.51 | $2.55 |