Astralyn-0522
0x2288784f9c6bff618cf4234b9e18553b230c9d22
- Realised P&L
- $67.64
- Volume
- $20.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,484
- Open portfolio
- $264.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,484
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.89at 0.910Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 12?
- +$1.89at 0.910Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 6?
- +$1.76at 0.890Solana Up or Down - July 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
- +$1.76at 0.890Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
- +$1.60at 0.900Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 00:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $9.40 |
| 08-03 23:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-03 23:35 | Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-03 23:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.985 | $14.78 |
| 08-03 23:03 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 08-03 23:03 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.93 | $19.53 |
| 08-03 23:03 | Will Sean McCann be the MI-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.989 | $19.78 |
| 08-03 23:03 | Will Diop Harris be the MI-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 08-03 23:03 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%? | BUY | 0.959 | $3.84 |
| 08-03 23:03 | Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | BUY | 0.93 | $19.53 |
| 08-03 23:03 | Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | BUY | 0.965 | $19.30 |
| 08-03 23:02 | Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06? | BUY | 0.92 | $19.32 |
| 08-03 23:02 | Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06? | BUY | 0.93 | $19.53 |
| 08-03 23:02 | Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | BUY | 0.94 | $19.74 |
| 08-03 23:02 | Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | BUY | 0.94 | $19.74 |