0x223e9b035730860B3c5c610c13BF9d9FD8a6E2Bc-1724055272447
0x223e9b035730860b3c5c610c13bf9d9fd8a6e2bc
- Realised P&L
- $-12.19
- Volume
- $19.0k
- Markets traded
- 142
- Open portfolio
- $5.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded142
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? · No | 0.920 | 0.725 | $5.08 | −$1.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.73at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 6PM ET
- +$0.58at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 2PM ET
- +$0.49at 0.500XRP Up or Down - January 19, 2PM ET
- +$0.49at 0.500XRP Up or Down - January 15, 11PM ET
- +$0.49at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 7PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:41 | Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | BUY | 0.92 | $6.45 |
| 07-23 15:37 | Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | SELL | 0.936 | $6.78 |
| 07-23 10:24 | Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.944 | $6.83 |
| 01-23 05:12 | Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.972 | $21.81 |
| 01-22 16:44 | Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.98 | $11.00 |
| 01-22 16:44 | Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.98 | $11.00 |
| 01-22 15:36 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open? | SELL | 0.983 | $23.33 |
| 01-22 07:22 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open? | BUY | 0.979 | $23.23 |
| 01-22 01:57 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.975 | $10.97 |
| 01-21 19:44 | Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.91 |
| 01-21 19:44 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.977 | $10.99 |
| 01-21 16:01 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.984 | $4.61 |
| 01-21 11:54 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.982 | $19.64 |
| 01-21 02:02 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.976 | $24.10 |
| 01-20 06:54 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.983 | $9.99 |