0X2100489428E51E51EB83156a618261CD79988B83
0x2100489428e51e51eb83156a618261cd79988b83
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $312.8k
- Markets traded
- 760
- Open portfolio
- $73.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded760
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? · Yes | 0.939 | 0.938 | $45.00 | −$0.07 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.655 | $13.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.945 | $5.67 | +$0.03 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat? · No | 0.062 | 0.059 | $2.95 | −$0.15 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-04 House seat? · No | 0.058 | 0.058 | $2.88 | −$0.03 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-03 House seat? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.099 | $2.04 | +$0.02 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-18 House seat? · No | 0.059 | 0.051 | $1.41 | −$0.24 |
| Will the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat? · No | 0.067 | 0.059 | $0.58 | −$0.09 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-09 House seat? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.054 | $0.24 | +$0.00 |
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.50at 0.050Will the Republican Party win the NY-05 House seat?
- +$22.25at 0.053Will the Republican Party win the CA-19 House seat?
- +$14.96at 0.110Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?
- +$14.50at 0.180Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat?
- +$11.00at 0.170Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:43 | Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 08-04 06:11 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat? | SELL | 0.272 | $13.60 |
| 08-04 03:35 | Will the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat? | SELL | 0.062 | $2.48 |
| 08-04 02:49 | Will the Democratic Party win the IL-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 08-04 01:49 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-19 House seat? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 01:13 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? | SELL | 0.38 | $0.38 |
| 08-04 01:08 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? | SELL | 0.3790909091 | $4.17 |
| 08-04 01:03 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? | SELL | 0.4009684211 | $15.24 |
| 08-04 00:43 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-19 House seat? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 08-04 00:33 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-48 House seat? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 00:33 | Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat? | SELL | 0.89 | $44.50 |
| 08-03 22:07 | Will the Republican Party win the CA-48 House seat? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 08-03 20:11 | Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.20 |
| 08-03 20:06 | Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.58 |
| 08-03 19:40 | Will the Democratic Party win the NE-03 House seat? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.00 |