0xAbFfc5Bdc421832A9DEF838169265867A6d1A00F-1773555440617
0x20fb981b1fcdf37363680ffb10b5c85fc738f282
- Realised P&L
- $41.18
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $101.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · Yes | 0.458 | 0.455 | $101.55 | −$0.76 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.509 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.60 |
| England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.50 |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance · United States | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.00 |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.455 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.40 |
| Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance · Portugal | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.00 |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance · Brazil | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.50 |
| Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.60 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.00 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) · Argentina | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$131.39 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.00 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.10at 0.400Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5
- +$59.87at 0.460Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$59.71at 0.560Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$59.68at 0.410Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
- +$56.79at 0.440Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 07:14 | Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.4583906348 | $102.31 |
| 07-07 11:43 | Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4799999993 | $131.39 |
| 07-06 11:11 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.54 | $54.00 |
| 07-06 11:10 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3399999967 | $46.00 |
| 07-06 02:36 | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5599999997 | $76.00 |
| 07-06 02:34 | Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.12 |
| 07-06 02:33 | Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? | SELL | 0.32 | $35.84 |
| 07-06 00:32 | Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 12:15 | Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3099999946 | $30.00 |
| 07-05 12:14 | Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7099999992 | $70.00 |
| 07-04 12:18 | Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $41.40 |
| 07-04 12:17 | Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.579999996 | $58.60 |
| 07-03 11:31 | Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4099999951 | $40.60 |
| 07-03 11:31 | Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6 | $59.40 |
| 07-02 11:39 | Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4549999955 | $47.40 |