5428
0x20e596adade18eb462bd963bc0699df779883ea2
- Realised P&L
- $-42.11
- Volume
- $111.9k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $64.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.004 | $55.08 | −$86.56 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $1.55 | −$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 3? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.33 | +$0.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on August 3? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.33 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 3? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.33 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 3? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.28 | +$0.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 3? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.16 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 3? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.05 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.69at 0.720Games Total: O/U 3.5
- +$0.64at 0.987No Ethereum all time high in 2024?
- +$0.59at 0.880Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
- +$0.57at 0.401Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$0.46at 0.986Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 12:09 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.55 |
| 08-03 12:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.9989992766 | $1.16 |
| 08-03 12:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.33 |
| 08-03 12:07 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.33 |
| 08-03 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.28 |
| 08-03 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.33 |
| 08-03 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.05 |
| 06-29 16:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.09 |
| 06-29 16:50 | Will XRP dip to $0.60 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.17 |
| 06-29 16:49 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 in June? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.03 |
| 06-29 16:49 | Will XRP reach $1.40 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.16 |
| 06-29 16:48 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.15 |
| 06-29 16:47 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.14 |
| 06-29 16:47 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.13 |
| 06-29 16:47 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9989992151 | $1.12 |