0x20906c2d3d5a485a558916bb9c86a1dad3fc0b40
- Realised P&L
- $5.91
- Volume
- $103.20
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $1.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.425 | $1.31 | −$0.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.76at 0.380Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$3.60at 0.357Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$2.56at 0.540San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs
- +$2.35at 0.460Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$2.23at 0.310Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 05:13 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.48 | $8.88 |
| 06-14 05:12 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.3799999468 | $2.00 |
| 06-13 06:58 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.589999941 | $4.00 |
| 06-12 07:28 | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.479999952 | $2.00 |
| 06-11 07:54 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 07:51 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.3799999631 | $5.98 |
| 06-09 16:22 | Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 06-09 16:21 | Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 06-07 13:03 | Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 06-07 13:02 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 06-07 13:01 | Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 06-06 20:50 | San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.5399999712 | $3.00 |
| 06-05 20:42 | Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |
| 06-05 09:37 | Will China PR win on 2026-06-05? | BUY | 0.5799999014 | $2.00 |
| 06-05 09:35 | Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |