Lubaz
0x20396165c10910291fa2a7d03f286d0680ada807
- Realised P&L
- $-8.8k
- Volume
- $56.5k
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes | 0.455 | 0.115 | $1.5k | −$4.4k |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.285 | $776.73 | −$259.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.71at 0.630Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?
- +$10.17at 0.036Air Force Falcons vs. Colorado State Rams (W)
- +$8.14at 0.700Avalanche vs. Kraken
- +$5.91at 0.570Ethereum Up or Down - December 14, 12PM ET
- +$5.43at 0.850Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 19:31 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999997 | $538.00 |
| 07-27 00:15 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999998 | $498.00 |
| 04-17 02:37 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.4550002665 | $5.9k |
| 04-04 21:44 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-04? | SELL | 0.71 | $10.14 |
| 04-04 21:36 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-04? | BUY | 0.719999946 | $1.60 |
| 04-04 16:04 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04? | SELL | 0.2016150062 | $1.64 |
| 04-04 15:34 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-04? | BUY | 0.6899999751 | $8.32 |
| 04-04 15:19 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.18 |
| 04-03 19:34 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04? | BUY | 0.6999999825 | $4.00 |
| 04-03 19:22 | Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-03? | BUY | 0.7399999457 | $2.95 |
| 04-01 01:59 | Iran leadership change by March 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.12 |
| 04-01 01:50 | Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 04-01 01:36 | United States vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $6.01 |
| 03-31 21:00 | Will Belgium win on 2026-03-31? | BUY | 0.4799999568 | $4.00 |
| 03-31 21:00 | Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |