0x1feb35e1049ad65750e94a28c8d6ce0549047db1
- Realised P&L
- $-146.52
- Volume
- $449.8k
- Markets traded
- 402
- Open portfolio
- $2.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded402
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.31at 0.004Military action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026?
- +$3.67at 0.002Will Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
- +$3.51at 0.005Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
- +$1.79at 0.007Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$1.78at 0.004Will Marciele Albuquerque win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 10:52 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.86 |
| 04-28 06:35 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.45 |
| 04-28 03:28 | Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.42 |
| 04-28 00:15 | Will Mohammed Amoura be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.27 |
| 04-28 00:13 | Will Mohammed Amoura be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.73 |
| 04-27 22:07 | Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.66 |
| 04-27 22:01 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.19 |
| 04-27 21:39 | Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.61 |
| 04-27 19:53 | Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 04-27 15:21 | Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.41 |
| 04-27 14:51 | Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.54 |
| 04-27 12:48 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.44 |
| 04-27 10:57 | Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.59 |
| 04-27 09:19 | Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.06 |
| 04-27 09:18 | Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |