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Traders

0x1f8fAbe2E8edbb21E03D9dD56A6868a0A7304d8a-1781529138698

0x1f8fabe2e8edbb21e03d9dd56a6868a0a7304d8a

Realised P&L
$25.55
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$56.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4? · Yes0.4091.000$36.68+$21.68
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 6? · Yes0.2900.295$8.85+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 5? · Yes0.2700.290$5.80+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 6? · Yes0.2500.245$4.90$0.10
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$10.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$3.60
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00$19.00
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.2130.000$0.00$3.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00$9.30
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$6.70
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$1.00
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$4.50
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1080.000$0.00$10.80
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5090.000$0.00$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 14:11Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 6?BUY0.29$8.70
08-04 14:11Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 6?BUY0.25$5.00
08-04 09:50Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 5?BUY0.27$5.40
08-04 03:13Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4?BUY0.4087826188$15.00
07-01 17:35Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.4399999765$4.50
07-01 17:34Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?SELL0.45$4.89
07-01 17:32Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.4599999595$5.00
07-01 17:26Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.053$5.30
06-29 05:37Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8599999584$19.00
06-26 13:26Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.239999856$1.00
06-26 13:24Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
06-26 13:22Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
06-26 13:16Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
06-26 08:20Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.3699999771$10.00
06-25 12:52Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.5499999807$10.00