0x1f8fAbe2E8edbb21E03D9dD56A6868a0A7304d8a-1781529138698
0x1f8fabe2e8edbb21e03d9dd56a6868a0a7304d8a
- Realised P&L
- $25.55
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $56.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.90at 0.141Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.18at 0.550Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
- +$5.15at 0.649Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
- +$3.33at 0.750Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
- +$3.29at 0.820Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.29 | $8.70 |
| 08-04 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 09:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 08-04 03:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4087826188 | $15.00 |
| 07-01 17:35 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.4399999765 | $4.50 |
| 07-01 17:34 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.45 | $4.89 |
| 07-01 17:32 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 17:26 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.053 | $5.30 |
| 06-29 05:37 | Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8599999584 | $19.00 |
| 06-26 13:26 | Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 13:24 | Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 13:22 | Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 13:16 | Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 08:20 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 12:52 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |