Tcroft
0x1f50b6817a2ceea2fa4ae5b42555efb5f82f9289
- Realised P&L
- $-133.04
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $14.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration64.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-30 21:29 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.0194699838 | $3.00 |
| 01-30 21:27 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |
| 01-30 21:24 | Will Leavitt say "National Guard" during the next press briefing? | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 01-30 21:22 | Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week? (February 1) | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 01-30 21:21 | Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 01-30 21:20 | Will a hurricane form by May 31? | BUY | 0.1195838382 | $10.00 |
| 01-30 21:19 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 01-30 21:11 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | BUY | 0.9909999332 | $5.00 |
| 01-30 21:05 | Will the US not strike another country before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 01-30 21:02 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 01-30 21:02 | Will Trump say "Too late" during Fed chair announcement? | BUY | 0.0883579909 | $10.00 |
| 01-30 21:01 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Fed chair announcement? | BUY | 0.0336559285 | $10.00 |
| 01-30 21:00 | Will Trump say "Governor" during Fed chair announcement? | BUY | 0.0829948912 | $10.00 |
| 01-30 20:59 | Will Trump say "Mistake" during Fed chair announcement? | BUY | 0.1054621422 | $10.00 |
| 01-30 20:59 | Will Trump say "Very Respected" during Fed chair announcement? | BUY | 0.0884722551 | $10.00 |