PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

RenanSantos

0x1f4b5bdd7d150c613c6f43b431b46ac0bb951a1e

Realised P&L
$-6.0k
Volume
$101.7k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$3.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1250.075$3.5k$2.3k
Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? · Yes0.0620.052$153.51$27.79
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Up0.7300.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET · Up0.5700.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET · Up0.8600.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET · Down0.5700.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Down0.7600.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 17:30Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0826459459$180.75
07-14 20:45Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.018$180.62
07-07 23:41Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3299999992$160.00
07-07 17:31Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.018$169.10
07-03 06:46Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3419999996$391.39
07-03 06:32Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.341999999$185.09
07-02 20:05Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0919888391$300.00
07-02 18:30Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.11$709.78
07-02 03:56Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1809999996$300.00
07-02 00:47Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1074387284$100.00
07-01 18:40Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1049999996$200.00
07-01 14:17Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1013997361$300.00
07-01 11:48Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0960086904$200.00
06-30 06:41Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1129999994$160.74
06-30 06:37Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1939999999$1.5k