GKK2
0x1ed4da56bf8573634400a4ab7ee779691766ff24
- Realised P&L
- $7.2k
- Volume
- $115.7k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $8.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.523 | 0.565 | $8.9k | +$664.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.617Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$2.1kat 0.266Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$1.2kat 0.710Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$938.11at 0.726No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
- +$582.45at 0.793Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 15:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.524875302 | $7.1k |
| 07-13 13:59 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.54 | $1.4k |
| 06-23 03:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.55 | $191.41 |
| 06-01 23:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7889864383 | $1.1k |
| 06-01 17:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.4k |
| 04-09 19:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.87 | $8.7k |
| 03-17 09:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.61 | $924.20 |
| 02-24 20:19 | US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $1.5k |
| 02-04 09:59 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.9 | $5.7k |
| 01-13 16:59 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7100988351 | $4.5k |
| 10-04 08:28 | Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9? | SELL | 0.91 | $4.5k |
| 10-02 15:06 | Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9? | BUY | 0.7927285902 | $3.9k |
| 09-04 04:00 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.8602932628 | $3.0k |
| 07-24 07:27 | No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.4027007852 | $962.65 |
| 07-16 03:18 | No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.5499999998 | $1.3k |