0x1EB6d320823e23870428B0bB020493B970E4671D-1730513894961
0x1eb6d320823e23870428b0bb020493b970e4671d
- Realised P&L
- $-189.86
- Volume
- $24.4k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $239.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$265.80at 0.175Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
- +$194.38at 0.394Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$194.14at 0.672Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$181.53at 0.211Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$116.19at 0.361Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:51 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2401536984 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 19:35 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.3180124105 | $14.00 |
| 08-04 19:35 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.3899999928 | $14.00 |
| 08-04 19:29 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.49 | $25.03 |
| 08-04 19:22 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 19:18 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.256790077 | $4.00 |
| 08-04 19:09 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 19:08 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.4899999741 | $7.00 |
| 08-04 19:08 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.43 | $5.59 |
| 08-04 19:06 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.4720692298 | $25.00 |
| 08-04 19:06 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.5622772879 | $36.99 |
| 08-04 17:46 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $26.99 |
| 08-04 17:19 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 17:16 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 15:53 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |